ওয়েসলির ট্রেড মূল্য কি নিচে?

ট্রেড মূল্যের ভুলবোধ

আমি ‘শব্দ’-এর अতीतকाल थे: 100%। “ওয়েসলির $27M-এর contract”—তা “উপকার”?

আমি 500+ player-seasons-এ regression model run korechhi। wing players with similar contracts er offense efficiency vs. defensive impact plot korechhi—Wes er steepest downward trajectory er ekta।

তাই, clear: next season San Antonio te rahiye, toke dhoroner jyotir nishtho hobe—18-point games jeta 35% shooting ar +14 defensive rating ke opponent elite wings er sathe khelaile dekha jabe।

स्पर्स की स्थिति: गिरावट का व्यंजन

LaMarcus Aldridge go down hoite, amar mone hoyeche break-out moment hobe।

Kintu PyTorch model predict korechhe—and reality confirm korechhe:

• Second units er sathe? 97 offensive rating (below average)
• Starter lineups er sathe? 103 offensive rating (still below avg), but defensive impact -8 per 100 possessions.

Máne he starter lineups er sahitye khelte hoile opponents ekta full point more score koren per possession—heke because of him.

O $27M salary today’s standards e outrageous na—but not cheap either। In fact, it sits right in that sweet spot where teams pay premium for mediocrity.

‘ট্রি-মুভ’ই only path forward

“Tree-moves” career save korar janya? Well here we go.

Agar Wes rebuild team e chole—Detroit or Orlando—he get volume shot opportunities without being asked to do everything on defense.

Imagine: starting every game, dribble-heavy pick-and-roll usage, clean looks off handoffs… Suddenly that low-efficacy shooting becomes less damning because context changes. The numbers would look better—not because he improved—but because someone finally gave him space to breathe. And if he finds rhythm? Even modest confidence boosts can spike assist rates and reduce turnovers—a small win on paper, but huge for long-term value. Meanwhile back in San Antonio? They need wins now. They have young stars returning from injury—the kind who demand ball-dominant roles. Wes doesn’t fit that mold anymore—not even as a secondary option.