As a data analyst who’s tracked Premier League transfers for years, I’ve seen offers like this before—but never with this much statistical noise. Brentford’s £65M ask isn’t just greed; it’s a model-backed stance. United’s £55M + £7.5M bid? A misaligned projection. Let me show you why the numbers don’t lie, and why this deal may never close—unless they recalibrate the valuation curve.